[Download] ➾ Proving History By Richard C. Carrier – Kdglass.co.uk This in depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes’s Theorem which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty as a solution tDownload Proving History By Richard C Carrier Kdglasscouk This in depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes’s Theorem which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty as a solution t This in depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes’s Theorem which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria The author demonstrates that valid historical methods—not only in the s

Tudy of Christian origins but in any historical study—can be described by and reduced to the logic of Bayes’s Theorem Conversely he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned Writing with thoroughness and clarity the author explains Bayes’s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike employing nothing than well known primary school math He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the co

proving kindle history pdf Proving History EpubTudy of Christian origins but in any historical study—can be described by and reduced to the logic of Bayes’s Theorem Conversely he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned Writing with thoroughness and clarity the author explains Bayes’s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike employing nothing than well known primary school math He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the co

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubOverall it's an interesting book which I regard as basically correct and a fruitful approach for future research and Richard Carrier is a good guy whose work should be supportedOn the other hand so far it's not uite as awesome as I was hoping it'd be when I was writing an essay on identifying the author of the Death Note movie script with Bayesian reasoning recently I think Luke Muehlhauser was right in his LessWrong review that Carrier does his case a disservice by trying to expound Bayesian ideas in a New Testament context where half the point of Bayesian ideas is to point out how useless the evidence is That's not a good way to either demonstrate Bayes is g

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubHistory is not unlike science an observation made by Richard Carrier the author of Proving History and when you think about it this idea makes a lot of sense They both involve weighing up evidence testing hypothes

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubIf you're looking for a case against the historical Jesus just read David Fitzgerald's Nailed It's much the same but without the math

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubI'll be using it to model how to do determine the most likely explanation of a body of evidence was an explanation given by Richard Carrier in his lecture Bayes Theorem Key to the Universe at the beginning of his Skepticon 4 presentation So when I heard Carrier was doing a book on the subject in relation to Historical

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubThe beginning was a good explanation of Bayes theorem and its usefulness in history and such fields Then it became very much about euations uite mental when you're listening to it instead of reading In the end he made a nice controversial claim that all Bayesianists are freuentists and vice versa brave man in any case

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubRead this a second time and Carrier's thesis that all reliable inuiry into truth is based on Bayesian Reasoning makes sense His argument about its proper use in history seems sound Enjoyable read over the weekend

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubThis was dense especially for me who am not great with formulae and numbers But I'm 110% sure this is the right approach to history and I really hope historical scholars begin to incorporate BT in their workCarrier is obviously brilliant when it comes to logic and maths and his knowledge of ancient history is not too shabby This is the combination that's been lacking in historical study He makes the point that BT doesn't contradict anything we're already doing with epistemic knowledge it just clarifies it and allows us to see each other's work and if necessary critiue it or at least know why we disagree or agreeI'm probably going to read this book again It was hard but I want to master this I have decent intuition when it comes to historical hypotheses but B

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubI think the title of this work is misleading in part It certainly does cover Bayes' Theorem but the uest for the Historical Jesus is really nothing

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubThis dense and meticulously reasoned argument explains why the author recommends that Bayes’ Theorem be the basic techniue for the analysis of hypotheses in history both for our general education and in preparation for his second volume On the Historicity of Jesus I’m no expert and I mostly used Bayes’ Theorem for demonstrations of medical diagnostic problems about 30 years ago and then gradually and as a replacement of common freuentist type statistics in everyday work as it became easier to do with computer software and better understood From my point of view so distant from Professor Carrier this method acts as a way to check and compare your data your assumptions and your hypotheses but frankly it’s hard for me to imagine thinking this way ab initio Perhaps it comes with practice Also I must admit that regardl

PDF Proving History ePUB ì ã kdglasscouk proving kindle, history pdf, Proving History EpubThe first 100 pages included a solid summary of Bayes theorem including how it can be applied to historical claims Later Carrier gets into critiuing historical criteria many use in analysis of the historical Jesus He comes off as overly skeptical seemingly assuming anything any author said about Jesus to be highly suspect and likely mythical He dismisses the majority of historical criteria used by most scholars and tries to give reasons as to why Some were convincing but most weren't Towards the end of the book the details increase and it takes focus to absorb the information I read only about half of the last chapter before putting it down